![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
tanaqui posting in ![[community profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/community.png){kind=small}
thisfinecrewAt polling analysis website FiveThiryEight, Nate Silver has carried out an analysis of which which Republican Senators are most likely to fight Trump, and which Democrats are most likely to work with him. As Silver points out:
Silver bases his analysis on how closely senators are aligned with Trump on policy issues, whether they endorsed Trump, and how much support Trump received in their home states -- and what impact that may have on their own re-election.
Republican senators most likely to defy Trump are: Collins (ME), Heller (NV), McCain (AZ), Portman (OH), Murkowski (AK), Flake (AZ), Lee (UT) and Paul (KY).
Democrat senators most likely to side with Trump are: Heitkamp (ND), Manchin WV) and Donnelly (IN), together with Campbell, if he wins the Louisiana runoff.
You can read the full results here.
[D]efections of just two to three Republican senators could block Trump from confirming his cabinet, making successful Supreme Court appointments, or passing new pieces of legislation.
Silver bases his analysis on how closely senators are aligned with Trump on policy issues, whether they endorsed Trump, and how much support Trump received in their home states -- and what impact that may have on their own re-election.
Republican senators most likely to defy Trump are: Collins (ME), Heller (NV), McCain (AZ), Portman (OH), Murkowski (AK), Flake (AZ), Lee (UT) and Paul (KY).
Democrat senators most likely to side with Trump are: Heitkamp (ND), Manchin WV) and Donnelly (IN), together with Campbell, if he wins the Louisiana runoff.
You can read the full results here.
